| full L9 concise (full set, 525 items, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.8% vs 44.6% bare n=525 | vs bare gemini31pro on the same items: +24.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), +25.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 17.7% vs 39.4%. Opus 4.8 grader: 72.7 vs 47.2. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; 3 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-21. |
| slice freeze concise identity (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 67.4% vs 69% bare n=300 | vs Ladder L9: concise composer style on the same items: -1.6 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.21), -0.8 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 20.8% vs 19.6%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.2 vs 72.0. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin 1c489dac; one trial; read out 2026-09-20. |
| bare freeze base identity (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 51.6% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: -0.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.93), -1.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 25.0% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 55.0 vs 56.5. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-20. |
| full L7 guarded (full set, 525 items, GPT-5.4 grader) | 66.2% vs 68.8% bare n=525 | vs full L9 concise on the same items: -2.6 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.01), -3.1 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 16.7% vs 17.7%. Opus 4.8 grader: 69.6 vs 72.6. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-20. |
| full L7 guarded (225-item holdout, GPT-5.4 grader) | 64.7% vs 65.7% bare n=225 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: -1.0 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.64), +0.6 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 17.2% vs 14.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 68.6 vs 67.9. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-20. |
| full L7 guarded (full set, 525 items, GPT-5.4 grader) | 66.2% vs 64.8% bare n=525 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +1.4 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.29), +2.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 16.7% vs 16.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 69.5 vs 67.1. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-20. |
| Ladder L9: concise composer style (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69% vs 64.2% bare n=300 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +4.8 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), +4.8 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.6% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.4 vs 66.6. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-19. |
| Ladder L7: guarded composer style (four harm classes) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.2% vs 64.2% bare n=300 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +4.0 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.03), +3.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 15.0% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 70.0 vs 66.5. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-19. |
| full L9 concise (225-item holdout, GPT-5.4 grader) | 67.9% vs 65.7% bare n=225 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +2.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.23), +4.6 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 16.5% vs 14.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 72.6 vs 67.9. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; 3 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-19. |
| full L9 concise (full set, 525 items, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.8% vs 64.8% bare n=525 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +4.0 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), +5.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 17.7% vs 16.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 72.7 vs 67.3. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; 3 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-19. |
| full L9 concise (225-item holdout, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.6% vs 66.6% bare n=225 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +2.0 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.30), +5.2 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 15.6% vs 12.9%. Opus 4.8 grader: 73.3 vs 68.1. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-19. |
| full L9 concise (full set, 525 items, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69.3% vs 64.9% bare n=525 | vs bare GPT-6 Astra on the same items: +4.4 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), +6.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 16.9% vs 15.7%. Opus 4.8 grader: 73.3 vs 67.0. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-19. |
| Ladder L9: concise composer style (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69% vs 62.6% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer (E1 baseline, 16 Sep) on the same items: +6.4 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.01), +4.8 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.6% vs 28.3%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.7 vs 67.0. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; 2 trials pooled; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L6: Claude Opus 5 composer (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 55.3% vs 69.4% bare n=300 | vs Ladder L9: concise composer style on the same items: -14.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), -11.0 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 30.0% vs 19.2%. Opus 4.8 grader: 60.6 vs 71.7. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha cascade (tier auto: Base / Mid ensemble / Apex by stakes) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 51.5% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: -0.3 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.88), -0.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 29.2% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 56.5 vs 56.9. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L5: query-aware KIL recruiter (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69.3% vs 69.4% bare n=300 | vs Ladder L9: concise composer style on the same items: -0.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.96), +0.3 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.2% vs 19.2%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.9 vs 71.7. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L4: dated PubMed live-evidence lane (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69.2% vs 69.4% bare n=300 | vs Ladder L9: concise composer style on the same items: -0.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.89), +1.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 18.3% vs 19.2%. Opus 4.8 grader: 72.9 vs 71.4. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L7: guarded composer style (four harm classes) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.2% vs 69.4% bare n=300 | vs Ladder L9: concise composer style on the same items: -1.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.44), -0.9 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 15.0% vs 19.2%. Opus 4.8 grader: 70.1 vs 71.0. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base, clinician audience + concise (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 54.9% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: +3.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.14), +1.6 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 28.3% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 57.9 vs 56.4. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base, audience asserted as clinician (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 52.9% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: +1.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.63), +0.7 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 27.5% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 57.6 vs 56.9. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L9: concise composer style (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69.4% vs 65.8% bare n=300 | vs Round 2 identity: Astra composer on the 17 Sep code (deploy check) on the same items: +3.6 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.01), +3.6 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.2% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.3 vs 67.7. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base, translate-and-correct on unsafe handouts (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 52.5% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: +0.7 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.75), -0.8 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 23.3% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 55.9 vs 56.8. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base, labelled recall on retrieval miss (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 54.4% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: +2.5 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.25), +0.1 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 26.7% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 56.6 vs 56.5. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L8: audience asserted as clinician (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 59.8% vs 65.8% bare n=300 | vs Round 2 identity: Astra composer on the 17 Sep code (deploy check) on the same items: -6.0 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.00), -5.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.2% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 62.9 vs 68.4. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base, concise style (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 52.4% vs 51.8% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) on the same items: +0.5 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.80), +2.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 31.7% vs 30.0%. Opus 4.8 grader: 59.1 vs 56.6. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Round 2 identity: Astra composer on the 17 Sep code (deploy check) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 65.8% vs 67.2% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) on the same items: -1.4 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.30), -1.4 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 17.5% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 68.6 vs 70.0. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cfa13318; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Asha Base on the 17 Sep code (Base identity) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 51.8% vs 53.1% bare n=300 | vs Asha Base (live lane, 16 Sep) on the same items: -1.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.59), -1.0 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 30.0% vs 26.7%. Opus 4.8 grader: 56.6 vs 57.6. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin n/a; one trial; read out 2026-09-18. |
| Ladder L3: every panel agent on Claude Opus 5 (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 66.5% vs 67.2% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) on the same items: -0.7 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.58), +0.2 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 18.3% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 69.5 vs 69.4. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin 1c2b7fc6, cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Ladder L2: current-affairs and India corpora excluded from retrieval (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 65.5% vs 67.2% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) on the same items: -1.7 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.25), -2.7 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 15.8% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 66.7 vs 69.4. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Apex-J, Fable composer, identity re-run on the 17 Sep pin (deploy check) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 62% vs 62.6% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer (E1 baseline, 16 Sep) on the same items: -0.6 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.74), +0.5 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 31.7% vs 28.3%. Opus 4.8 grader: 67.4 vs 66.9. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer, concise style, clean-pin re-run (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 68.3% vs 67.2% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) on the same items: +1.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.68), +4.9 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 28.3% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 74.8 vs 69.9. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 67.2% vs 62.6% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer (E1 baseline, 16 Sep) on the same items: +4.6 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.07), +1.8 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 17.5% vs 28.3%. Opus 4.8 grader: 69.4 vs 67.5. adopted as incumbent under the pre-registered rule. Pin cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer, concise style (E6) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 69.4% vs 67.2% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, GPT-6 Astra composer (E3; ceiling ladder incumbent) on the same items: +2.2 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.08), +3.1 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 19.2% vs 17.5%. Opus 4.8 grader: 72.5 vs 69.4. not adopted: inside the 3-point band, gates pass. Pin cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |
| Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer, concise style (E2; straddled a restart, record only) (300-item slice, GPT-5.4 grader) | 67.7% vs 62.6% bare n=300 | vs Apex-J, Fable 5.1 composer (E1 baseline, 16 Sep) on the same items: +5.1 length-adjusted (GPT-5.4, p = 0.01), +4.6 (Opus 4.8). Harm rate 29.2% vs 28.3%. Opus 4.8 grader: 71.5 vs 66.9. rejected: a gate failed or the score fell 3 points or more. Pin 2165d45a, cab1d043; one trial; read out 2026-09-17. |